PoliticsTrumpMinnesota Unrest

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

Opens Resolves
Total volume
$2.6M
24h volume
$0
Liquidity
$35K
Open interest
$20K
Resolves
Jun 30, 2026
Comments
43
7d volume
$373K
30d volume
$2.2M
1yr volume
$2.2M
Competitive
84.4%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? 0.5% 1w 1.5% 1m
2.0% spread
6%
2Will Tim Walz resign by July 31?
Will Tim Walz resign by July 31? 0.1% 1w
0.5% spread
1%
3Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?
Will Tim Walz resign by January 31? 0.2% 1d 0.3% 1w 1.6% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
4Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30? 0.2% 1w 1.0% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.001Maker rewards ≥ 100 USDCMax spread: 4.5%
Order BookJanuary 31
Mid 0.1¢
PriceContractsTotal
Loading…
Price change 0.2% 1d 0.3% 1w 1.6% 1m
📊 Market context

Minnesota Governor Tim Walz faces ongoing calls for resignation tied to a large-scale fraud investigation into Medicaid waiver and public assistance programs, with federal prosecutors estimating that half or more of roughly $18 billion disbursed during his tenure may involve improper claims. Republicans in the state legislature filed articles of impeachment in January 2026 and have cited constitut…

Rules summary

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz announces he has resigned or will resign as Governor of Minnesota by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Tim Walz to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Tim Walz announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source …

Buy Yes · Will Tim Walz resign by January 31?
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