Will Base launch a token by ___ ?. Current implied probability: 100% yes. Total volume: $7.4M. Resolves January 1, 2028. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
CryptoPre-Markettoken launchBase
Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
Opens Resolves
Total volume
$7.4M
24h volume
$603
Liquidity
$42K
Open interest
$143K
Resolves
Jan 1, 2028
Comments
180
7d volume
$402K
30d volume
$2.2M
1yr volume
$5.6M
Competitive
99.6%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?▲ 4.0% 1w▼ 12.5% 1m
2.0% spread
65%
2
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?▼ 4.5% 1d▼ 8.5% 1w▼ 7.5% 1m
6.0% spread
43%
3
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?▼ 2.0% 1d▼ 9.0% 1w▼ 23.0% 1m
1.0% spread
12%
4
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?▼ 0.9% 1w▼ 1.2% 1m
0.4% spread
2%
5
Will Base launch a token in 2025?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 2.5% 1m
0.1% spread
100%
6
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.7% 1m
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base officially launches a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
