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Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

Opens Resolves
Total volume
$2.3M
24h volume
$9K
Liquidity
$376K
Open interest
$728K
Resolves
Jan 1, 2027
Comments
7d volume
$150K
30d volume
$618K
1yr volume
$1.8M
Competitive
99.5%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? 2.4% 1d 2.0% 1w
0.1% spread
100%
2Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31? 3.6% 1d 2.8% 1w 3.1% 1m
0.1% spread
100%
3Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? 1.0% 1d 1.0% 1w 3.0% 1m
1.0% spread
92%
4Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? 0.5% 1d 0.5% 1m
1.0% spread
79%
5Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? 7.0% 1w 1.5% 1m
1.0% spread
58%
6Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? 6.0% 1w 3.5% 1m
2.0% spread
43%
7Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? 2.5% 1d 3.0% 1w 18.0% 1m
1.0% spread
19%
8Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? 1.5% 1d 2.5% 1w 10.5% 1m
2.0% spread
12%
9Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? 1.0% 1d 5.0% 1w 1.0% 1m
1.0% spread
10%
10Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? 0.4% 1d 2.9% 1w 6.6% 1m
1.7% spread
8%
11Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? 0.1% 1d 1.6% 1w 1.3% 1m
0.3% spread
5%
12Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? 8.0% 1m
1.0% spread
4%
13Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? 6.0% 1m
1.0% spread
4%
Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.001Maker rewards ≥ 50 USDCMax spread: 4.5%
Order Book↑$4.0T
Mid 7.5¢
PriceContractsTotal
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Price change 0.4% 1d 2.9% 1w 6.6% 1m
📊 Market context

Anthropic’s $965 billion post-money valuation from its May 2026 Series H round, which raised $65 billion led by Altimeter, Dragoneer, Greenoaks, and Sequoia, anchors current trader sentiment ahead of the December 31 deadline. The company’s annualized revenue run rate near $47 billion, driven by Claude model demand and expanded compute capacity, supports premium pricing in secondary markets that ha…

Rules summary

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. I…

Buy Yes · Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
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Implied chance7%
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