Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?. Current implied probability: 37% yes. Total volume: $27.5M. Resolves December 31, 2026. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
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Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Opens Resolves
Total volume
$27.5M
24h volume
$577K
Liquidity
$1.7M
Open interest
$662K
Resolves
Dec 31, 2026
Comments
494
7d volume
$1.2M
30d volume
$10.6M
1yr volume
$27.5M
Competitive
100.0%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?▲ 5.5% 1d▲ 9.2% 1w▲ 13.4% 1m
1.0% spread
49%
2
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?▲ 3.0% 1d▲ 5.0% 1m
1.0% spread
37%
3
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?▼ 3.0% 1w▼ 6.0% 1m
1.0% spread
9%
4
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?▼ 2.1% 1d▼ 2.3% 1w▼ 3.1% 1m
0.2% spread
1%
5
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?▼ 0.3% 1d▼ 0.3% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
6
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?▼ 0.1% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
7
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
8
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
9
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?▼ 0.3% 1d▼ 0.4% 1w▲ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
10
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.2% spread
0%
11
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
12
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.4% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
13
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
14
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
15
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
16
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.2% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
17
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.4% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
18
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
19
Will another person be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Gadi Eizenkot leads trader consensus for Israel's next prime minister after the October 2026 Knesset election due to his rising profile as leader of the new Yashar party and strong centrist-security appeal among voters seeking an alternative to the incumbent. Recent polling shows his support edging ahead of Naftali Bennett's Together alliance with Yair Lapid, bolstered by Eizenkot's former IDF chi…
Rules summary
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December …
