Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?. Current implied probability: 50% yes. Total volume: $1.9M. Resolves November 7, 2028. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
US ElectionElectionsPoliticsGlobal Elections
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
Opens Resolves
Total volume
$1.9M
24h volume
$2K
Liquidity
$675K
Open interest
$679K
Resolves
Nov 7, 2028
Comments
89
7d volume
$9K
30d volume
$41K
1yr volume
$1.9M
Competitive
99.3%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1.0% spread
58%
2
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1.0% spread
40%
3
Will Party K win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100.0% spread
0%
4
Will Party L win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100.0% spread
0%
5
Will another party win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100.0% spread
0%
6
Will Party H win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100.0% spread
0%
7
Will Party E win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100.0% spread
0%
8
Will Party A win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100.0% spread
0%
9
Will Party B win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100.0% spread
0%
10
Will Party C win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100.0% spread
0%
11
Will Party D win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100.0% spread
0%
12
Will Party F win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100.0% spread
0%
13
Will Party G win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100.0% spread
0%
14
Will Party I win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100.0% spread
0%
15
Will Party J win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100.0% spread
0%
Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.01
Order BookParty K
Mid 50.0¢
PriceContractsTotal
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📊 Market context
Democratic candidates hold a 58.5% implied probability in the 2028 presidential election market, ahead of Republicans at 40.5%, reflecting trader assessment of an open contest following the Republican victory in 2024. With Donald Trump in office and JD Vance as vice president, the incumbent party confronts typical midterm headwinds ahead of November 2026 contests that often reshape congressional d…
Rules summary
The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
