What will happen before GTA VI?. Current implied probability: 54% yes. Total volume: $23.3M. Resolves July 31, 2026. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
**GTA VI’s confirmed November 19, 2026 release date on PS5 and Xbox Series X/S creates a fixed five-month window that now anchors trader focus on which major events will occur first.** Take-Two Interactive’s May 2026 earnings explicitly tied record revenue forecasts to this date, while Rockstar’s prior delay from May 26 reinforced the studio’s emphasis on polish and reduced the odds of further sli…
Rules summary
This is a market on predicting events that will occur before the release of Grand Theft Auto VI.
