Virginia Republican Senate Primary Winner. Current implied probability: 0% yes. Total volume: $2.4M. Resolves June 16, 2026. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
PoliticsElectionsPrimariesprimary elections
Virginia Republican Senate Primary Winner
Opens Resolves
Total volume
$2.4M
24h volume
$93
Liquidity
$67K
Open interest
$25K
Resolves
Jun 16, 2026
Comments
5
7d volume
$2K
30d volume
$6K
1yr volume
$487K
Competitive
91.5%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?▲ 1.5% 1d▲ 3.0% 1w▲ 7.0% 1m
11.0% spread
83%
2
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?▼ 0.5% 1d▼ 6.2% 1w▼ 2.1% 1m
1.2% spread
14%
3
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?▼ 1.0% 1d▲ 1.6% 1w▲ 1.6% 1m
4.2% spread
6%
4
Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?▼ 1.1% 1w▼ 0.4% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
5
Will Alex De Paula be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?▼ 1.9% 1w▼ 3.8% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
6
Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?▼ 0.9% 1w▼ 1.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
7
Will Jason Miyares be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?▼ 0.3% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
8
Will Winsome Earle-Sears be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?▼ 2.4% 1w▼ 7.8% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
9
Will Chuck Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?▼ 2.8% 1w▼ 12.2% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
10
Will another candidate be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Bert Mizusawa holds a commanding lead in the Virginia Republican Senate primary market ahead of the August 4 contest, driven by his background as a retired Army major general, prior congressional and Senate bids, and clear fundraising edge with over $192,000 raised and $55,000 cash on hand as of March. The Republican Party of Virginia recently certified Mizusawa, Kim Farington, and David Williams …
Rules summary
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia.
If no 2026 Virginia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
