Venezuela leader end of 2026?. Current implied probability: 2% yes. Total volume: $93.8M. Resolves December 31, 2026. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
Trump-MachadoVenezuelaTrumpPolitics
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Opens Resolves
Total volume
$93.8M
24h volume
$96K
Liquidity
$1.9M
Open interest
$602K
Resolves
Dec 31, 2026
Comments
362
7d volume
$450K
30d volume
$2.4M
1yr volume
$89.7M
Competitive
91.8%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?▼ 0.9% 1d▲ 0.7% 1w▲ 4.1% 1m
0.7% spread
80%
2
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?▼ 2.0% 1w▼ 6.0% 1m
1.0% spread
13%
3
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 1.4% 1w▼ 1.1% 1m
0.1% spread
2%
4
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?▼ 0.9% 1d▼ 0.4% 1w▲ 0.4% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
5
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w▲ 0.1% 1m
0.4% spread
1%
6
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
7
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
8
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?▲ 0.1% 1w▲ 0.1% 1m
0.2% spread
0%
9
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
10
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
11
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
12
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
13
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
14
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
15
Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
16
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
17
Will Leader 2 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
18
Will Leader 4 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
19
Will Leader 6 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
20
Will Leader 8 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
21
Will Leader 10 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
22
Will Leader 12 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
23
Will Leader 14 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
24
Will Leader 16 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
25
Will Leader 18 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
26
Will Leader 20 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
27
Will Leader 22 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
28
Will Leader 24 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
29
Will Leader 26 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
30
Will Leader 28 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
31
Will Leader 30 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
32
Will Leader 32 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
33
Will Leader 34 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
34
Will Leader 36 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
35
Will Leader 38 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
36
Will Leader 40 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
37
Will Leader 1 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
38
Will Leader 3 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
39
Will Leader 5 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
40
Will Leader 7 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
41
Will Leader 9 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
42
Will Leader 11 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
43
Will Leader 13 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
44
Will Leader 15 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
45
Will Leader 17 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
46
Will Leader 19 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
47
Will Leader 21 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
48
Will Leader 23 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
49
Will Leader 25 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
50
Will Leader 27 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
51
Will Leader 29 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
52
Will Leader 31 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
53
Will Leader 33 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
54
Will Leader 35 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
55
Will Leader 37 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
56
Will Leader 39 be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
100.0% spread
0%
57
Will Other be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
US military forces captured Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, and removed him from Venezuela to face charges, shifting formal power to acting president Delcy Rodríguez under the constitutional line of succession and Supreme Court rulings. Chavista-aligned institutions, including the National Assembly led by Jorge Rodríguez and loyal security forces, have maintained continuity, with Delcy consolid…
Rules summary
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN…
