US strike on Colombia by...?

Tensions between the United States and Colombia have centered on counternarcotics policy and bilateral relations since the U.S. operation that removed Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro in early January 2026. President Trump publicly threatened military action against Colombia in connection with drug trafficking concerns, prompting sharp exchanges with Colombian President Gustavo Petro. Trader conse…

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a US-initiated drone, missile, or air strike on the soil of Colombia is announced or credibly reported to have occurred by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including FPV and ATGM strikes as well as cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by any United States operatives, including military forces, intelligence agencies, or other U.S. government operatives, that physically impact ground territory within the listed …