WorldUkrainePoliticsGeopolitics

Ukraine election held by...?

Opens Resolves
Total volume
$2.5M
24h volume
$148
Liquidity
$11K
Open interest
$29K
Resolves
Dec 31, 2025
Comments
50
7d volume
$3K
30d volume
$67K
1yr volume
$1.8M
Competitive
85.0%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? 0.5% 1w 2.0% 1m
2.0% spread
8%
2Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025? 0.1% 1d 0.3% 1w 1.1% 1m
0.1% spread
100%
3Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? 0.1% 1w 0.9% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.001Maker rewards ≥ 100 USDCMax spread: 3.5%
Order BookDecember 31, 2025
Mid 100.0¢
PriceContractsTotal
Loading…
Price change 0.1% 1d 0.3% 1w 1.1% 1m
📊 Market context

Ukraine’s next national elections remain blocked by repeated extensions of martial law, most recently renewed through August 2, 2026, under constitutional rules and the martial law statute that prohibit presidential, parliamentary, or local votes while the measure is active. Parliament has extended the regime in 90-day increments 19 times since 2022, with the latest votes reflecting continued Russ…

Rules summary

This market will resolve to "Yes" if national elections for the parliament and/or presidency of Ukraine are held between February 12 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is based on whether national elections are actually held in Ukraine within the specified dates. Merely scheduling an election will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". If elections are officially scheduled for a date outside of 2025, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information fr…

Buy Yes · Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?
You're paying
$USDC
Implied chance0%
Shares0
To win