Trump out as President before 2027?
Republican majorities in Congress have repeatedly tabled or defeated Democratic impeachment resolutions, including multiple measures tied to executive actions on Iran in 2025-2026, preventing any path to Senate conviction. No credible developments point to resignation, successful invocation of the 25th Amendment, or other removal mechanisms before the end of 2026. Trader consensus at 89.5% on "No"…
Rules summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 …