SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes). Current implied probability: 0% yes. Total volume: $4.3M. Resolves December 31, 2027. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
Big TechElon MuskSpaceXIPOs
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)
Opens Resolves
Total volume
$4.3M
24h volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$363K
Resolves
Dec 31, 2027
Comments
50
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?▲ 0.8% 1d▲ 2.1% 1w▲ 6.5% 1m
0.1% spread
100%
2
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on IPO day?▼ 0.2% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
3
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.4% 1w▼ 0.9% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
4
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
5
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day?▼ 0.4% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 1.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
6
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $600B and $700B at market close on IPO day?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
7
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on IPO day?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 1.3% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
8
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.3% 1w▼ 1.6% 1m
SpaceX’s IPO pricing at $135 per share, targeting a $1.75–1.8 trillion valuation and a record $75 billion raise, drives the overwhelming market consensus for a closing market cap above $1 trillion. Strong institutional oversubscription, robust 2025 revenue of roughly $18.7 billion from Starlink expansion and launch services, plus new AI-related cloud partnerships have reinforced trader confidence …
Rules summary
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be ba…
