Satoshi's identity be proven by...?. Current implied probability: 0% yes. Total volume: $2.0M. Resolves December 31, 2026. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
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Satoshi's identity be proven by...?
Opens Resolves
Total volume
$2.0M
24h volume
$50
Liquidity
$20K
Open interest
$10K
Resolves
Dec 31, 2026
Comments
10
7d volume
$522
30d volume
$8K
1yr volume
$935K
Competitive
82.4%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?▼ 0.4% 1d▼ 1.7% 1w▲ 0.9% 1m
0.2% spread
4%
2
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by July 31?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w
0.2% spread
0%
3
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by April 30?▼ 0.4% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
4
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?▼ 0.2% 1w▼ 0.9% 1m
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator or creators of Bitcoin, is definitively proven between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence confirming the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, such as a transfer from one of the original Satoshi wallets. However, a credible consensus of reporting will also be used.
