Republican Presidential Nominee 2028. Current implied probability: 2% yes. Total volume: $675.6M. Resolves November 7, 2028. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
98.0% spread
49%
2
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?▲ 1.5% 1w▲ 8.5% 1m
0.1% spread
42%
3
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?▼ 0.3% 1d▲ 0.3% 1w▲ 2.6% 1m
0.2% spread
27%
4
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?▼ 0.4% 1w▼ 3.6% 1m
0.1% spread
3%
5
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?▲ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.4% 1m
0.1% spread
2%
6
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?▲ 0.1% 1d▲ 0.4% 1w▼ 0.9% 1m
0.1% spread
2%
7
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?▲ 0.1% 1d▲ 0.2% 1w▼ 0.8% 1m
0.3% spread
2%
8
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
9
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?▼ 0.3% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
10
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
11
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0.1% spread
1%
12
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
13
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
14
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.2% 1w▼ 0.4% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
15
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?▼ 0.2% 1w▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
16
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.2% 1w▼ 0.7% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
17
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
18
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
19
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0.1% spread
1%
20
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.9% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
21
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
22
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
23
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
24
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
25
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?▼ 0.3% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
26
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
27
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?▼ 0.2% 1w▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
28
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.3% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
29
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?▼ 0.3% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
30
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?▼ 0.4% 1w▼ 0.4% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
31
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?▼ 0.3% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
32
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.4% 1w▼ 0.4% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
33
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?▼ 0.3% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
34
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?▼ 0.4% 1w▼ 0.4% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
35
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?▼ 0.2% 1d▼ 0.3% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
36
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?▼ 0.2% 1d▼ 0.3% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
37
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
100.0% spread
0%
38
Will another person win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
100.0% spread
0%
Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.001
Order BookDonald Trump
Mid 1.6¢
PriceContractsTotal
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Price change▲ 0.1% 1d▲ 0.4% 1w▼ 0.9% 1m▼ 4.9% 1y
📊 Market context
RFK Jr., serving as HHS Secretary, leads trader consensus at 49% due to his high-profile “Make America Healthy Again” agenda, national tours, and rallies that have built a distinct populist base within the GOP since joining the Trump administration. Sitting Vice President J.D. Vance trails at 33.1% as the institutional frontrunner with early endorsements and polling strength, though his favorabili…
Rules summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
