Presidential Election Winner 2028. Current implied probability: 1% yes. Total volume: $661.7M. Resolves November 7, 2028. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
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Presidential Election Winner 2028 Opens Jul 11, 2025 Resolves Nov 7, 2028
# Outcome Chance
1 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▼ 0.4% 1w ▲ 4.2% 1m
20% Yes 19.9¢ No 80.2¢ 2 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▲ 0.5% 1d ▲ 0.4% 1w ▼ 1.7% 1m
14% Yes 14.2¢ No 85.9¢ 3 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▲ 0.1% 1d ▼ 0.2% 1w ▼ 4.5% 1m
12% Yes 11.7¢ No 88.4¢ 4 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▼ 0.1% 1d ▲ 0.4% 1w ▲ 2.3% 1m
8% Yes 7.9¢ No 92.2¢ 5 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▲ 0.2% 1w ▲ 2.9% 1m
8% Yes 7.5¢ No 92.6¢ 6 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▲ 0.1% 1d ▲ 1.1% 1w ▼ 0.1% 1m
5% Yes 5.1¢ No 95.0¢ 7 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▼ 0.2% 1m
3% Yes 2.8¢ No 97.3¢ 8 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▲ 0.1% 1d
2% Yes 2.3¢ No 97.8¢ 9 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▼ 0.1% 1d ▼ 0.4% 1w ▼ 1.4% 1m
2% Yes 1.7¢ No 98.5¢ 10 Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▲ 0.4% 1w ▼ 1.1% 1m
2% Yes 1.6¢ No 98.5¢ 11 Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▲ 0.1% 1w ▼ 0.3% 1m
2% Yes 1.6¢ No 98.5¢ 12 Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▼ 0.2% 1m
1% Yes 1.4¢ No 98.7¢ 13 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▲ 0.1% 1w ▼ 0.5% 1m
1% Yes 1.2¢ No 98.9¢ 14 Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▼ 0.2% 1m
1% Yes 1.2¢ No 98.9¢ 15 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▲ 0.3% 1w ▼ 0.1% 1m
1% Yes 1.2¢ No 99.0¢ 16 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▼ 0.1% 1w ▼ 0.1% 1m
1% Yes 1.1¢ No 99.0¢ 17 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▲ 0.1% 1m
1% Yes 0.9¢ No 99.2¢ 18 Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1% Yes 0.9¢ No 99.2¢ 19 Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▼ 0.1% 1m
1% Yes 0.8¢ No 99.3¢ 20 Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1% Yes 0.8¢ No 99.3¢ 21 Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▼ 0.1% 1w ▼ 0.3% 1m
1% Yes 0.8¢ No 99.3¢ 22 Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▼ 0.1% 1w ▼ 0.1% 1m
1% Yes 0.8¢ No 99.3¢ 23 Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▼ 0.1% 1w ▼ 0.1% 1m
1% Yes 0.7¢ No 99.4¢ 24 Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▼ 0.1% 1w ▼ 0.1% 1m
1% Yes 0.7¢ No 99.4¢ 25 Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▼ 0.1% 1w ▼ 0.3% 1m
1% Yes 0.7¢ No 99.4¢ 26 Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1% Yes 0.7¢ No 99.4¢ 27 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▼ 0.1% 1w ▼ 0.1% 1m
1% Yes 0.7¢ No 99.4¢ 28 Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▼ 0.1% 1w ▼ 0.1% 1m
1% Yes 0.6¢ No 99.5¢ 29 Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▼ 0.1% 1m
1% Yes 0.6¢ No 99.5¢ 30 Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▼ 0.1% 1d ▼ 0.2% 1w ▼ 0.2% 1m
1% Yes 0.5¢ No 99.6¢ 31 Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▼ 0.1% 1d ▼ 0.3% 1w ▼ 0.4% 1m
0% Yes 0.5¢ No 99.6¢ 32 Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▼ 0.1% 1d ▼ 0.2% 1w ▼ 0.2% 1m
1% Yes 0.5¢ No 99.6¢ 33 Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▼ 0.2% 1w ▼ 0.2% 1m
0% Yes 0.5¢ No 99.6¢ 34 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▼ 0.2% 1w ▼ 0.3% 1m
0% Yes 0.5¢ No 99.6¢ 35 Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▼ 0.3% 1w ▼ 0.3% 1m
0% Yes 0.4¢ No 99.7¢ 36 Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▼ 0.3% 1w ▼ 0.4% 1m
0% Yes 0.3¢ No 99.8¢ 37 Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ▼ 0.1% 1d ▼ 0.3% 1w ▼ 0.4% 1m
0% Yes 0.3¢ No 99.8¢ 38 Will another person win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0% Yes 100.0¢ No 100¢ Min order: 5 USDC Tick: 0.001 Maker rewards ≥ 50 USDC Max spread: 4.5%
Price Contracts Total
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Price change ▼ 0.1% 1h ▼ 0.1% 1d ▼ 0.2% 1w ▼ 0.2% 1m
📊 Market context
Early positioning for the 2028 presidential nominees remains fluid more than two years before the primaries, with trader consensus reflecting the long timeline and uncertainty over both parties' fields. JD Vance benefits from his vice-presidential role in the current administration, while Marco Rubio's recent polling gains as secretary of state and Gavin Newsom's status as a leading Democratic fig…
Show more Rules summary The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
