Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?. Current implied probability: 0% yes. Total volume: $16.5M. Resolves December 31, 2026. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
PoliticsEnglandUKWorld
Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?
Opens Resolves
Total volume
$16.5M
24h volume
$26K
Liquidity
$2.4M
Open interest
$655K
Resolves
Dec 31, 2026
Comments
130
7d volume
$201K
30d volume
$3.8M
1yr volume
$7.7M
Competitive
80.1%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?▲ 0.1% 1d▲ 0.9% 1w▲ 31.1% 1m
0.2% spread
100%
2
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.2% 1w▼ 0.8% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
3
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?▼ 19.4% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
4
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?▼ 0.3% 1m
0.2% spread
0%
5
Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
6
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?▼ 2.5% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
7
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?▼ 0.2% 1w▼ 3.0% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
8
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?▼ 0.4% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
9
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?▼ 0.8% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
10
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?▼ 2.0% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
11
Will Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
12
Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
13
Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
14
Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?▼ 1.0% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
15
Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
16
Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
17
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
18
Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
19
Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
20
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?▼ 2.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
21
Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
22
Will OG Anunoby Jr. be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
23
Will another person be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
**Andy Burnham leads the market at 76.7% because he is the Labour candidate in the Makerfield by-election scheduled for 18 June 2026, a contest widely viewed as the pathway for him to re-enter Parliament and mount a leadership challenge against Prime Minister Keir Starmer.** Labour’s weaker-than-expected local election results earlier in 2026 triggered internal party pressure on Starmer’s position…
Rules summary
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next PM in 2026”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a …
