⭐ FeaturedUS x Iran diplomatic meetingPoliticsU.S. x IranTrumpVance

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

Opens Resolves
Total volume
$6.7M
24h volume
$133K
Liquidity
$213K
Open interest
$382K
Resolves
Jul 31, 2026
Comments
7d volume
$919K
30d volume
$2.2M
1yr volume
$2.2M
Competitive
100.0%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? 1.5% 1d
1.0% spread
49%
2US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? 4.0% 1d 23.5% 1w
2.0% spread
18%
3US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026? 0.5% 1d 11.1% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
4US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? 23.9% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
5US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 26, 2026?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 26, 2026? 0.3% 1d
0.1% spread
0%
6US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? 0.3% 1d 1.7% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.001Maker rewards ≥ 200 USDCMax spread: 4.5%
Order BookJuly 3
Mid 0.1¢
PriceContractsTotal
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Price change 23.9% 1w
📊 Market context

Recent high-level US-Iran talks in Switzerland on June 21–22 concluded with mediators Qatar and Pakistan reporting “encouraging progress” and agreement on a roadmap for a final deal within 60 days under the Islamabad Memorandum signed June 17. Technical-level sessions continue this week at the same venue, covering nuclear enrichment limits, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz access, and related se…

Rules summary

On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue.(see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person dipl…

Buy Yes · US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?
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