MLB: 2026 American League Champion. Current implied probability: 2% yes. Total volume: $4.1M. Resolves November 1, 2026. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
American LeagueSportsWorld Seriesbaseball
MLB: 2026 American League Champion
Opens Resolves
Total volume
$4.1M
24h volume
$540
Liquidity
$1.0M
Open interest
$33K
Resolves
Nov 1, 2026
Comments
2
7d volume
$6K
30d volume
$24K
1yr volume
$817K
Competitive
94.8%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1
Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?▼ 0.5% 1w▼ 2.5% 1m
1.0% spread
27%
2
Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 American League Championship Series?▼ 4.0% 1w▼ 2.0% 1m
1.0% spread
17%
3
Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?▼ 0.1% 1d▲ 1.6% 1w▲ 4.5% 1m
0.8% spread
15%
4
Will Texas Rangers win the 2026 American League Championship Series?▲ 1.0% 1w▲ 2.0% 1m
1.0% spread
9%
5
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.2% 1w▲ 2.5% 1m
0.5% spread
6%
6
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?▼ 0.1% 1d▲ 1.9% 1w▼ 0.5% 1m
0.7% spread
5%
7
Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?▼ 0.1% 1d▲ 2.6% 1w▲ 2.5% 1m
0.1% spread
4%
8
Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?▼ 0.3% 1d▼ 1.8% 1w▼ 3.3% 1m
2.3% spread
5%
9
Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 American League Championship Series?▼ 0.1% 1d▲ 0.8% 1w▲ 1.5% 1m
1.2% spread
4%
10
Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?▼ 0.4% 1d▼ 0.2% 1w▲ 0.5% 1m
1.3% spread
4%
11
Will Minnesota Twins win the 2026 American League Championship Series?▼ 0.1% 1d▲ 1.1% 1w▲ 1.1% 1m
0.3% spread
2%
12
Will Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 American League Championship Series?▼ 0.2% 1w▼ 0.4% 1m
0.1% spread
2%
13
Will Athletics win the 2026 American League Championship Series?▼ 0.3% 1d▼ 0.7% 1w▼ 1.6% 1m
0.3% spread
1%
14
Will Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 American League Championship Series?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.2% spread
0%
15
Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 American League Championship Series?▼ 0.3% 1w▼ 0.7% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
16
Will another team win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
The New York Yankees' AL East lead at 44-27 with a +117 run differential and strong recent form reflects their balanced offense, anchored by consistent power production and pitching depth that positions them as the consensus favorite in trader pricing. Seattle's 19% implied probability stems from sustained contention in the AL West, where roster continuity and starting rotation stability keep them…
Rules summary
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information…
