Los Angeles Mayoral Election. Current implied probability: 65% yes. Total volume: $13.0M. Resolves June 2, 2026. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
mayorPoliticsUS ElectionElections
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Opens Resolves
Total volume
$13.0M
24h volume
$3K
Liquidity
$161K
Open interest
$453K
Resolves
Jun 2, 2026
Comments
149
7d volume
$63K
30d volume
$218K
1yr volume
$1.8M
Competitive
97.7%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?▲ 5.0% 1w▲ 6.0% 1m
1.0% spread
65%
2
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 4.5% 1w▼ 5.1% 1m
0.1% spread
35%
3
Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
0.1% spread
0%
4
Will another candidate win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
100.0% spread
0%
5
Will Austin Beutner win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
0.1% spread
0%
6
Will Monica Rodriguez win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
0.1% spread
0%
7
Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
0.1% spread
0%
8
Will Gina Viola win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
0.1% spread
0%
9
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?▼ 0.6% 1d▼ 0.6% 1w▼ 20.4% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
10
Will Lindsey Horvath win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
0.1% spread
0%
11
Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
0.1% spread
0%
12
Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Incumbent Karen Bass leads the November runoff matchup against City Councilmember Nithya Raman following the June 2 nonpartisan primary, where Bass secured a plurality near 34% and Raman edged Spencer Pratt for second place at roughly 29% after late mail-ballot counting. Bass benefits from broad establishment support across Los Angeles neighborhoods and endorsements from state Democratic leaders, …
Rules summary
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.
