What are the current odds for: Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

According to OpenFlow's prediction market aggregator, the current implied probability is 50% as of 2026-07-16. Total volume on this market is $4.8M. This market resolves on December 31, 2026.

How does OpenFlow aggregate prediction market odds?

OpenFlow aggregates live order books across on-chain prediction market venues, applies cross-venue price improvement, and displays unified Yes/No implied probabilities. Users trade on their own exchange — OpenFlow routes fills and settles exchange-to-exchange via USDC on Solana.

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Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Opens Feb 2, 2026Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Total volume

$4.8M

24h volume

$9K

Liquidity

$557K

Open interest

$402K

Resolves

Dec 31, 2026

Comments

7d volume

$35K

30d volume

$460K

1yr volume

$1.6M

Competitive

88.8%

Odds history

#OutcomeChance

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?▼ 1.0% 1d▼ 1.0% 1w▼ 2.0% 1m

1.0% spread

85%

Will xAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

49.0% spread

26%

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?▲ 0.2% 1d▲ 0.5% 1w▲ 3.5% 1m

0.4% spread

14%

Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?▲ 0.2% 1d▲ 0.5% 1w▼ 1.3% 1m

0.2% spread

Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

0.1% spread

Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

0.1% spread

Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

0.1% spread

Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

0.1% spread

Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

0.1% spread

Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

0.1% spread

Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

0.1% spread

Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

0.1% spread

Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

0.1% spread

Will Placeholder K have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder O have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder Q have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder S have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder AA have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder AE have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder AG have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder AN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder AQ have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder AT have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder AV have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder AW have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder BC have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder BG have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder B have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder E have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Other company have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder A have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder D have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder G have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder I have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder C have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder F have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder H have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder J have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder P have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder R have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder Z have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder AB have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder AD have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder AF have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder AH have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder AJ have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder AK have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder AP have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder AS have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder AY have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder BD have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder BH have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder L have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder M have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder T have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder U have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder W have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder Y have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder AL have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder AR have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder AU have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder AZ have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder BB have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder BE have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder BF have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder N have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder V have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder X have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder AC have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder AM have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder AO have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder AX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Will Placeholder BA have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

100.0% spread

Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.01

Order BookPlaceholder K

Mid 50.0¢

PriceContractsTotal

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📊 Market context

SpaceX's June 2026 Nasdaq debut under ticker SPCX, priced at $135 per share to raise a record $75 billion at a roughly $1.75 trillion valuation, has anchored overwhelming trader consensus at 88% implied probability for the year's largest IPO by first-day market cap. The filing timeline—from confidential April submission to public S-1 in May—combined with Starlink revenue growth, Starship progress,…

Rules summary

This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026. This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name co…