Largest Company end of December 2026?. Current implied probability: 1% yes. Total volume: $4.3M. Resolves December 31, 2026. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
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Largest Company end of December 2026?
Opens Resolves
Total volume
$4.3M
24h volume
$26K
Liquidity
$914K
Open interest
$400K
Resolves
Dec 31, 2026
Comments
—
7d volume
$196K
30d volume
$840K
1yr volume
$4.3M
Competitive
97.3%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?▼ 5.0% 1d▲ 1.0% 1w▼ 1.0% 1m
1.0% spread
67%
2
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?▲ 5.3% 1d▲ 5.5% 1w▲ 8.8% 1m
0.4% spread
18%
3
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?▲ 2.5% 1d▼ 2.5% 1w▼ 0.5% 1m
2.0% spread
13%
4
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 1.1% 1w▼ 7.4% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
5
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
6
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
7
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
0.1% spread
0%
8
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.5% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
9
Will Company C be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
10
Will Company E be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
11
Will Company G be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
12
Will Company I be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
13
Will Company K be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
14
Will Company M be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
15
Will Company O be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
16
Will Company Q be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
17
Will Company S be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
18
Will any other company be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
19
Will Company B be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
20
Will Company D be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
21
Will Company F be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
22
Will Company H be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
23
Will Company J be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
24
Will Company L be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
25
Will Company N be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
26
Will Company P be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
27
Will Company R be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
100.0% spread
0%
28
Will Company T be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
NVIDIA's sustained dominance in AI semiconductors underpins its 69.5% implied probability of ending December 2026 as the world's largest company by market capitalization. The chipmaker's roughly $5 trillion valuation reflects robust data-center revenue growth and new platform launches like Rubin, outpacing peers amid continued hyperscaler spending. Alphabet's 14.5% odds stem from its recent overta…
Rules summary
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
