What are the current odds for: Israeli parliament dissolved by...?

According to OpenFlow's prediction market aggregator, the current implied probability is 100% as of 2026-07-16. Total volume on this market is $2.2M. This market resolves on June 30, 2026.

How does OpenFlow aggregate prediction market odds?

OpenFlow aggregates live order books across on-chain prediction market venues, applies cross-venue price improvement, and displays unified Yes/No implied probabilities. Users trade on their own exchange — OpenFlow routes fills and settles exchange-to-exchange via USDC on Solana.

⭐ FeaturedWorldIsraelPoliticsMiddle East

Israeli parliament dissolved by...?

Opens Sep 3, 2025Resolves Jun 30, 2026

Total volume

$2.2M

24h volume

$30K

Liquidity

$32K

Open interest

$118K

Resolves

Jun 30, 2026

Comments

7d volume

$267K

30d volume

$433K

1yr volume

$516K

Competitive

98.0%

Odds history

#OutcomeChance

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?▼ 4.9% 1d▲ 14.3% 1w▲ 35.9% 1m

0.1% spread

94%

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 17?▼ 13.3% 1d

11.7% spread

85%

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 16?▼ 36.1% 1d

15.2% spread

46%

Israeli parliament dissolved by October 31?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 1.8% 1w▼ 7.4% 1m

0.1% spread

100%

Israeli parliament dissolved by December 31?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 1.6% 1w▼ 5.7% 1m

0.1% spread

100%

Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?▼ 0.5% 1d▼ 7.5% 1w▼ 17.5% 1m

0.1% spread

Israeli parliament dissolved by February 28?

100.0% spread

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?▼ 10.4% 1w▼ 49.5% 1m

0.1% spread

Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?▼ 0.2% 1d▼ 2.8% 1w

0.1% spread

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15?▼ 0.3% 1d▼ 5.5% 1w

0.1% spread

Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?▼ 5.9% 1w

0.1% spread

Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.001Maker rewards ≥ 100 USDCMax spread: 3.5%

Order BookOctober 31

Mid 100.0¢

PriceContractsTotal

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Price change▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 1.8% 1w▼ 7.4% 1m

📊 Market context

Israel's Knesset faces dissolution amid coalition fractures over ultra-Orthodox military draft exemptions, with Haredi parties withdrawing support from Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government. Lawmakers advanced a coalition-backed dissolution bill through a preliminary reading in May and its first reading on June 2 with near-unanimous votes, setting a potential election window between Septe…

Rules summary

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Israeli Knesset (Israel's parliament), as of this market's inception, is dissolved between September 3 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.