Iran full airspace closure by...?

Recent US and Israeli strikes on Iranian military targets in March 2026 prompted a full closure of the Tehran Flight Information Region, followed by Iranian missile and drone responses that sustained regional tensions. Partial reopenings began in April and advanced in phases through June, with the eastern sector allowing limited overflights while the western portion stayed restricted amid a US-Ira…

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a general closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “general closure” refers to a cancellation or suspension of aviation which is generally applicable to all commercial flights transiting Iranian airspace (“Tehran FIR”). A qualifying closure must apply generally to all of Iran or the Tehran FIR; limited cancellations, delays, or partial closures will not qualify. A closure which applies generally to commerc…