What are the current odds for: IPOs before 2027?

According to OpenFlow's prediction market aggregator, the current implied probability is 43% as of 2026-07-16. Total volume on this market is $6.9M. This market resolves on December 31, 2026.

How does OpenFlow aggregate prediction market odds?

OpenFlow aggregates live order books across on-chain prediction market venues, applies cross-venue price improvement, and displays unified Yes/No implied probabilities. Users trade on their own exchange — OpenFlow routes fills and settles exchange-to-exchange via USDC on Solana.

Yearly IPOsIPOsBusinessBig TechFinance

IPOs before 2027?

Opens Nov 12, 2025Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Total volume

$6.9M

24h volume

$3K

Liquidity

$91K

Open interest

$297K

Resolves

Dec 31, 2026

Comments

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7d volume

$237K

30d volume

$516K

1yr volume

$4.0M

Competitive

99.3%

Odds history

#OutcomeChance

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?▲ 0.1% 1d▲ 0.5% 1w▲ 5.7% 1m

0.1% spread

100%

Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?▲ 0.6% 1d▲ 1.1% 1w▲ 15.4% 1m

0.1% spread

100%

Cerebras IPO before 2027?▲ 0.3% 1w▲ 7.8% 1m

0.1% spread

100%

Wealthfront IPO before 2027?▲ 0.7% 1d▲ 3.0% 1w

0.1% spread

100%

SHEIN IPO before 2027?▲ 2.8% 1d▲ 53.9% 1w▲ 66.1% 1m

1.5% spread

85%

Anthropic IPO before 2027?▼ 0.5% 1d▲ 16.5% 1w▼ 4.0% 1m

2.0% spread

75%

Discord IPO before 2027?▼ 0.7% 1d▼ 2.2% 1w▼ 18.4% 1m

0.4% spread

43%

OpenAI IPO before 2027?▼ 0.5% 1d▼ 7.5% 1w▼ 29.0% 1m

1.0% spread

18%

Remote IPO before 2027?▲ 1.0% 1w▼ 3.0% 1m

1.0% spread

19%

WHOOP IPO before 2027?▲ 7.0% 1w▼ 19.5% 1m

1.0% spread

18%

Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?▼ 2.1% 1d▼ 1.7% 1w▼ 6.1% 1m

0.8% spread

17%

Rippling IPO before 2027?▼ 1.0% 1d▲ 0.5% 1w▼ 13.0% 1m

3.0% spread

12%

Mistral AI IPO before 2027?▲ 0.5% 1d▼ 5.0% 1m

1.0% spread

11%

Epic Games IPO before 2027?▼ 9.6% 1d▲ 1.8% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m

1.0% spread

11%

Glean IPO before 2027?▼ 3.0% 1w▼ 6.0% 1m

1.0% spread

10%

Databricks IPO before 2027?▲ 1.0% 1d▼ 2.5% 1w▼ 11.5% 1m

1.0% spread

10%

Vanta IPO before 2027?▼ 2.0% 1w▼ 4.0% 1m

1.0% spread

10%

Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?▼ 1.5% 1w

1.0% spread

10%

Ledger IPO before 2027?▼ 1.5% 1d▼ 2.5% 1w▼ 0.5% 1m

3.0% spread

11%

Ramp IPO before 2027?▼ 1.5% 1w▼ 1.5% 1m

2.0% spread

Celonis IPO before 2027?▼ 1.0% 1w▼ 4.0% 1m

2.0% spread

10%

Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?▼ 4.5% 1m

1.0% spread

Anduril IPO before 2027?▼ 1.0% 1w▼ 3.0% 1m

1.0% spread

10%

Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?▼ 1.0% 1d▼ 3.0% 1w▼ 5.0% 1m

1.0% spread

ByteDance IPO before 2027?▼ 0.5% 1m

2.0% spread

Freddie Mac IPO before 2027?▼ 1.5% 1w▼ 7.0% 1m

1.0% spread

Revolut IPO before 2027?▼ 1.0% 1m

1.0% spread

Stripe IPO before 2027?▲ 0.9% 1d▼ 1.4% 1w▼ 6.1% 1m

0.8% spread

Deel IPO before 2027?

1.0% spread

Canva IPO before 2027?▼ 0.5% 1d▼ 0.5% 1w▼ 7.5% 1m

1.0% spread

Waymo IPO before 2027?▼ 1.8% 1m

0.1% spread

Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?▼ 0.3% 1d▲ 1.8% 1w▼ 0.5% 1m

1.3% spread

Brex IPO before 2027?▼ 1.2% 1d▼ 0.9% 1w▼ 0.4% 1m

0.7% spread

xAI IPO before 2027?▼ 12.4% 1d▼ 9.4% 1w▼ 7.0% 1m

0.1% spread

Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.001Maker rewards ≥ 50 USDCMax spread: 4.5%

Order BookDiscord

Mid 42.7¢

PriceContractsTotal

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Price change▼ 0.2% 1h▼ 0.7% 1d▼ 2.2% 1w▼ 18.4% 1m

📊 Market context

SpaceX leads trader expectations for an IPO before 2027 at near-certain odds, fueled by confirmed bank interviews and Elon Musk’s acknowledgment of 2026 plans, while Anthropic’s targeted October or Q4 timeline and OpenAI’s confidential filing support 79% and 52% probabilities respectively. AI sector momentum, with companies valued at $850B–$1T seeking capital for compute and expansion, aligns with…

Rules summary

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for…