⭐ FeaturedWeatherPandemicsHantavirus

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Opens Resolves
Total volume
$16.8M
24h volume
$133K
Liquidity
$391K
Open interest
$1.8M
Resolves
Dec 31, 2026
Comments
577
7d volume
$304K
30d volume
$1.3M
1yr volume
$16.8M
Competitive
81.9%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? 0.8% 1d 0.6% 1w 0.8% 1m
0.1% spread
3%
Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.001Maker rewards ≥ 200 USDCMax spread: 5.5%
Order BookYes
Mid 3.0¢
PriceContractsTotal
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Price change 0.8% 1d 0.6% 1w 0.8% 1m
📊 Market context

A May 2026 cluster of Andes hantavirus cases aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship, involving roughly 13 confirmed or probable infections and three deaths from hantavirus pulmonary syndrome, temporarily elevated visibility but reinforced market confidence against a 2026 pandemic. Official assessments from the WHO, CDC, and ECDC classify global risk as low to very low, citing the virus’s primary rodent…

Rules summary

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone …

Buy Yes · Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
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$USDC
Implied chance3%
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To win
Bid 2.9¢Ask 3.0¢Spread 0.1¢