F1 Constructors' Champion. Current implied probability: 1% yes. Total volume: $27.4M. Resolves December 6, 2026. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
Formula 1Sportsf1
F1 Constructors' Champion
Opens Resolves
Total volume
$27.4M
24h volume
$26K
Liquidity
$1.7M
Open interest
$287K
Resolves
Dec 6, 2026
Comments
38
7d volume
$467K
30d volume
$2.9M
1yr volume
$27.4M
Competitive
88.8%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?▲ 0.5% 1d▲ 0.5% 1w▲ 1.5% 1m
1.0% spread
85%
2
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?▲ 1.3% 1d▲ 0.1% 1w▲ 2.8% 1m
0.4% spread
12%
3
Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?▼ 0.1% 1d▲ 0.6% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
4
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?▼ 0.7% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
5
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
6
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?▼ 0.2% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
7
Will Aston Martin be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
8
Will Audi be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
9
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
10
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
11
Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
12
Will another team be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
100.0% spread
0%
Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.001
Order BookMcLaren
Mid 1.4¢
PriceContractsTotal
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Price change▼ 0.1% 1d▲ 0.6% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
📊 Market context
Mercedes leads the 2026 Constructors' Championship with 262 points to Ferrari's 190 and McLaren's 141, reflecting a substantial mid-season advantage that underpins the 84% implied probability in trader consensus. The Silver Arrows have excelled under the new regulations through superior power unit optimization and energy management, allowing Kimi Antonelli and George Russell to deliver consistent …
Rules summary
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding …
