Elon Musk # tweets July 10 - July 17, 2026?. Current implied probability: 0% yes. Total volume: $2.8M. Resolves July 17, 2026. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
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Elon Musk # tweets July 10 - July 17, 2026?
Opens Resolves
Total volume
$2.8M
24h volume
$650K
Liquidity
$923K
Open interest
$458K
Resolves
Jul 17, 2026
Comments
—
7d volume
$1.8M
30d volume
$1.9M
1yr volume
$1.9M
Competitive
98.7%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?▲ 29.0% 1d▲ 50.0% 1w
1.0% spread
61%
2
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?▼ 4.0% 1d▲ 15.0% 1w
1.0% spread
30%
3
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?▼ 9.3% 1d▼ 10.0% 1w
0.1% spread
6%
4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?▼ 10.8% 1d▼ 6.9% 1w
0.2% spread
2%
5
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?▼ 3.6% 1d▼ 12.4% 1w
0.1% spread
1%
6
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?▼ 0.9% 1d▼ 11.3% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
7
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 5.5% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
8
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 2.5% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
9
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?▼ 0.2% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
10
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?▼ 1.9% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
11
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?▼ 1.5% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
12
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?▼ 0.7% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
13
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?▼ 0.3% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
14
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?▼ 0.1% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
15
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
16
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?▼ 0.4% 1d▼ 8.5% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
17
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
18
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
19
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
20
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
21
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
22
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
23
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
0.1% spread
0%
24
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?▼ 0.7% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
25
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?▼ 0.2% 1d▼ 3.0% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
26
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?▼ 10.0% 1d▼ 5.8% 1w
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 10 12:00 PM ET to July 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the t…
