Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028. Current implied probability: 1% yes. Total volume: $1238.7M. Resolves November 7, 2028. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▲ 0.5% 1d▲ 2.1% 1w▼ 4.0% 1m
0.1% spread
20%
2
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▲ 0.1% 1d▲ 0.3% 1w▲ 5.2% 1m
0.1% spread
14%
3
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.4% 1w▲ 3.8% 1m
0.1% spread
12%
4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▲ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.5% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
7%
5
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▲ 0.1% 1w▲ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
5%
6
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.3% 1d▲ 0.1% 1w▲ 0.5% 1m
0.2% spread
5%
7
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1w▲ 0.6% 1m
0.1% spread
2%
8
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▲ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.4% 1m
0.1% spread
2%
9
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▲ 0.1% 1d▲ 0.5% 1w▲ 0.3% 1m
0.2% spread
2%
10
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▲ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.2% 1w▲ 0.3% 1m
0.2% spread
2%
11
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
12
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.2% 1w▼ 0.8% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
13
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0.1% spread
1%
14
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
15
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.2% 1w▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
16
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.2% 1w▼ 0.9% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
17
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▲ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
18
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.7% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
19
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
20
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
21
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
22
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.2% 1w▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
23
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
24
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.2% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
25
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
26
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0.1% spread
1%
27
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▲ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
28
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.2% 1w▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
29
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.2% 1w▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
30
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
31
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.2% 1w▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
32
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
33
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
34
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.2% 1w▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
35
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
36
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.7% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
37
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.2% 1w▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
38
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.3% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
39
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.2% 1w▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
40
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.3% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
41
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.2% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
42
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.3% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
43
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.3% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
44
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.4% 1w▼ 0.4% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
45
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
46
Will another person win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100.0% spread
0%
Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.001
Order BookStephen A. Smith
Mid 0.8¢
PriceContractsTotal
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Price change▼ 0.2% 1w▼ 0.2% 1m▼ 4.0% 1y
📊 Market context
Gavin Newsom leads the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination market at 24.3% due to his high national profile as California governor, frequent public clashes with the Trump administration, and positioning around the 2026 midterms and state redistricting efforts. The wide-open field features fragmented support across governors like Josh Shapiro and Andy Beshear, senators such as Jon Ossoff and Ma…
Rules summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
