Based FDV above ___ one day after launch?. Current implied probability: 0% yes. Total volume: $5.3M. Resolves January 1, 2027. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
CryptoPre-MarketBasedToken Sales
Based FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Opens Resolves
Total volume
$5.3M
24h volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$527K
Resolves
Jan 1, 2027
Comments
98
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?▲ 0.5% 1d▲ 20.5% 1w
0.1% spread
100%
2
Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?
0.1% spread
100%
3
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?
0.1% spread
100%
4
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?▼ 0.1% 1d▲ 0.5% 1w▼ 1.8% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
5
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?▲ 0.1% 1d▲ 1.2% 1w▼ 4.2% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
6
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?▼ 1.0% 1d▲ 6.0% 1w▼ 11.0% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
7
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?▼ 0.3% 1d▼ 1.2% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
8
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?▲ 0.1% 1d▲ 0.5% 1w▼ 0.8% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
9
Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?▲ 0.5% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
10
Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?▼ 0.1% 1d▲ 0.2% 1w▼ 0.5% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
11
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?▼ 4.0% 1d▲ 14.5% 1w▼ 37.0% 1m
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Based's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Based (https://x.com/BasedOneX) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
