Bachelorette Season 22 Winner. Current implied probability: 0% yes. Total volume: $2.4M. Resolves November 30, 2026. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
CultureReality TVCelebrities
Bachelorette Season 22 Winner
Opens Resolves
Total volume
$2.4M
24h volume
$712
Liquidity
$75K
Open interest
$11K
Resolves
Nov 30, 2026
Comments
10
7d volume
$3K
30d volume
$15K
1yr volume
$2.4M
Competitive
95.8%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1
Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?▲ 3.1% 1d▼ 14.2% 1w▲ 39.3% 1m
54.1% spread
14%
2
Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?▲ 6.5% 1d▲ 3.5% 1w▼ 45.5% 1m
20.0% spread
26%
3
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.2% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
4
Will Ronn Perez win The Bachelorette Season 22?▲ 0.1% 1d▲ 0.3% 1w▲ 0.1% 1m
0.4% spread
1%
5
Will Malik Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22?▲ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.3% 1w▲ 0.2% 1m
0.6% spread
1%
6
Will Rod Strozier win The Bachelorette Season 22?▲ 0.1% 1d▲ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.9% spread
0%
7
Will Casey Hux win The Bachelorette Season 22?▲ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.4% 1w
0.9% spread
1%
8
Will Johnnie LaRossa win The Bachelorette Season 22?▼ 0.4% 1d▼ 0.4% 1w▼ 0.4% 1m
1.0% spread
1%
9
Will Clayton Johnson win The Bachelorette Season 22?▼ 0.4% 1w▲ 0.3% 1m
0.7% spread
1%
10
Will Conrad Ukropina win The Bachelorette Season 22?▼ 0.5% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
1.0% spread
1%
11
Will Michael Baba win The Bachelorette Season 22?▼ 0.5% 1d▼ 0.6% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.4% spread
1%
12
Will Aaron Kahng win The Bachelorette Season 22?▲ 0.4% 1d▲ 0.4% 1w▼ 0.4% 1m
0.9% spread
0%
13
Will Brandon Perce win The Bachelorette Season 22?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.5% 1w▲ 0.4% 1m
0.9% spread
1%
14
Will Kevin Montero win The Bachelorette Season 22?▼ 0.5% 1d▼ 0.5% 1w▼ 0.4% 1m
0.8% spread
0%
15
Will Mike Turitto win The Bachelorette Season 22?
0.4% spread
0%
16
Will Matt Carroll win The Bachelorette Season 22?▲ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.4% spread
0%
17
Will Shane Parton win The Bachelorette Season 22?▼ 0.4% 1d▼ 0.8% 1w
0.1% spread
1%
18
Will Brad Ledford win The Bachelorette Season 22?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.4% 1w▼ 0.4% 1m
0.3% spread
1%
19
Will Christopher Wood win The Bachelorette Season 22?▼ 0.4% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.3% spread
0%
20
Will Josh Harward win The Bachelorette Season 22?▼ 0.3% 1w▲ 0.1% 1m
0.3% spread
0%
21
Will Lew Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.4% 1w▼ 1.1% 1m
0.2% spread
1%
22
Will Marcus Richardson win The Bachelorette Season 22?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.4% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m
0.2% spread
0%
23
Will Trenten Merrill win The Bachelorette Season 22?▼ 0.3% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
The abrupt cancellation of *The Bachelorette* Season 22, announced by Disney Entertainment Television on March 19, 2026, just days before its planned March 22 premiere, overwhelmingly drives the market's 80% implied probability on "Other (Season Cancelled)." A resurfaced 2023 video of lead Taylor Frankie Paul in a domestic altercation with her ex prompted the network to pull the season, shifting f…
Rules summary
This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22.
The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be t…
