2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis). Current implied probability: 52% yes. Total volume: $3.6M. Resolves September 13, 2026. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
SportsATPTennis
2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Opens Resolves
Total volume
$3.6M
24h volume
$90K
Liquidity
$873K
Open interest
$91K
Resolves
Sep 13, 2026
Comments
2
7d volume
$726K
30d volume
$832K
1yr volume
$3.5M
Competitive
99.9%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?▲ 0.5% 1d▲ 7.0% 1w▲ 10.5% 1m
1.0% spread
52%
2
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?▲ 0.5% 1d▲ 3.0% 1w▼ 3.5% 1m
2.0% spread
23%
3
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?▲ 0.8% 1d▲ 0.2% 1w▲ 3.4% 1m
0.5% spread
8%
4
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?▼ 2.0% 1w▼ 1.4% 1m
0.2% spread
4%
5
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?▲ 0.5% 1d▼ 0.4% 1w▼ 1.0% 1m
0.5% spread
2%
6
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?▼ 1.0% 1w▼ 1.6% 1m
0.1% spread
2%
7
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?▼ 0.2% 1d▼ 1.3% 1w▼ 2.4% 1m
0.4% spread
2%
8
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's US Open?▲ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.8% 1w▼ 1.1% 1m
0.3% spread
1%
9
Will Jack Draper win the 2026 Men's US Open?▲ 0.5% 1d▲ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.9% 1m
0.2% spread
1%
10
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's US Open?▲ 0.1% 1d▼ 1.1% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.2% spread
1%
11
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open?▲ 0.3% 1d▼ 0.4% 1w▼ 2.2% 1m
0.4% spread
1%
12
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.5% 1w▼ 0.7% 1m
0.3% spread
1%
13
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's US Open?▲ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
14
Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's US Open?▲ 0.3% 1d▲ 0.3% 1w▲ 0.3% 1m
0.4% spread
1%
15
Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 Men's US Open?▲ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w
0.3% spread
1%
16
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?▼ 0.2% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
17
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's US Open?▼ 0.4% 1w▲ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
18
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's US Open?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.5% 1w▼ 0.4% 1m
0.3% spread
1%
19
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's US Open?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.3% 1w▼ 0.6% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
20
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's US Open?▼ 0.3% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m
0.2% spread
1%
21
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's US Open?▼ 0.1% 1w▲ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
22
Will Holger Rune win the 2026 Men's US Open?▲ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.3% 1w▼ 0.4% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
23
Will Player B win the 2026 Men's US Open?
100.0% spread
0%
24
Will Player C win the 2026 Men's US Open?
100.0% spread
0%
25
Will Player E win the 2026 Men's US Open?
100.0% spread
0%
26
Will Player I win the 2026 Men's US Open?
100.0% spread
0%
27
Will Player K win the 2026 Men's US Open?
100.0% spread
0%
28
Will Player Z win the 2026 Men's US Open?
100.0% spread
0%
29
Will Player F win the 2026 Men's US Open?
100.0% spread
0%
30
Will Player H win the 2026 Men's US Open?
100.0% spread
0%
31
Will Player L win the 2026 Men's US Open?
100.0% spread
0%
32
Will Player M win the 2026 Men's US Open?
100.0% spread
0%
33
Will Player Q win the 2026 Men's US Open?
100.0% spread
0%
34
Will Player A win the 2026 Men's US Open?
100.0% spread
0%
35
Will Player J win the 2026 Men's US Open?
100.0% spread
0%
36
Will Player Y win the 2026 Men's US Open?
100.0% spread
0%
37
Will Other win the 2026 Men's US Open?
100.0% spread
0%
38
Will Player D win the 2026 Men's US Open?
100.0% spread
0%
39
Will Player G win the 2026 Men's US Open?
100.0% spread
0%
40
Will Player N win the 2026 Men's US Open?
100.0% spread
0%
41
Will Player O win the 2026 Men's US Open?
100.0% spread
0%
42
Will Player R win the 2026 Men's US Open?
100.0% spread
0%
43
Will Player U win the 2026 Men's US Open?
100.0% spread
0%
44
Will Player W win the 2026 Men's US Open?
100.0% spread
0%
45
Will Player P win the 2026 Men's US Open?
100.0% spread
0%
46
Will Player S win the 2026 Men's US Open?
100.0% spread
0%
47
Will Player T win the 2026 Men's US Open?
100.0% spread
0%
48
Will Player V win the 2026 Men's US Open?
100.0% spread
0%
49
Will Player X win the 2026 Men's US Open?
100.0% spread
0%
Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.01
Order BookJannik Sinner
Mid 52.0¢
PriceContractsTotal
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Price change▲ 0.5% 1d▲ 7.0% 1w▲ 10.5% 1m
📊 Market context
Jannik Sinner leads the 2026 US Open winner market at 40% implied probability due to his proven hard-court dominance, including multiple prior titles on the surface and consistent deep runs in recent majors, though his May French Open second-round exit from cramping and illness introduces some uncertainty ahead of the hard-court swing. Carlos Alcaraz sits second at 25% on the strength of his all-s…
Rules summary
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source w…
