F1 Drivers' Champion. Current implied probability: 19% yes. Total volume: $196.7M. Resolves December 6, 2026. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
SportsFormula 1f1
F1 Drivers' Champion
Opens Resolves
Total volume
$196.7M
24h volume
$712K
Liquidity
$15.3M
Open interest
$1.3M
Resolves
Dec 6, 2026
Comments
270
7d volume
$12.8M
30d volume
$21.7M
1yr volume
$196.7M
Competitive
99.2%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?▲ 0.3% 1d▲ 1.3% 1w▼ 0.6% 1m
0.2% spread
59%
2
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?▼ 1.0% 1d▼ 2.0% 1w▲ 2.0% 1m
1.0% spread
19%
3
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?▲ 1.6% 1d▲ 0.4% 1w▲ 2.5% 1m
0.2% spread
14%
4
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?▲ 0.5% 1d▲ 0.4% 1w▲ 0.7% 1m
0.1% spread
3%
5
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?▲ 0.2% 1d▲ 1.4% 1w▲ 1.2% 1m
0.1% spread
2%
6
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?▲ 0.3% 1d▲ 0.6% 1w▲ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
2%
7
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?▲ 0.3% 1w▲ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
8
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
9
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
10
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?▼ 0.2% 1w▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
11
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
12
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
13
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
14
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?▼ 0.2% 1w▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
15
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
16
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
17
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
18
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
19
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
20
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
21
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
22
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
23
Will Driver A be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
100.0% spread
0%
24
Will Driver C be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
100.0% spread
0%
25
Will Driver E be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
100.0% spread
0%
26
Will Driver G be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
100.0% spread
0%
27
Will Driver I be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
100.0% spread
0%
28
Will Another Driver be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Kimi Antonelli’s commanding 41-point championship lead after seven rounds stems from Mercedes’ strong early-season package and his own run of five straight victories, multiple poles, and consistent podiums that have kept him ahead of teammates and rivals. A late mechanical retirement in Barcelona allowed Lewis Hamilton to claim his first Ferrari win and close the gap, yet Antonelli retains the str…
Rules summary
This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from conte…