What are the current odds for: World Cup: Spain Stage of Elimination

According to OpenFlow's prediction market aggregator, the current implied probability is 50% as of 2026-07-16. Total volume on this market is $2.0M. This market resolves on July 19, 2026.

How does OpenFlow aggregate prediction market odds?

OpenFlow aggregates live order books across on-chain prediction market venues, applies cross-venue price improvement, and displays unified Yes/No implied probabilities. Users trade on their own exchange — OpenFlow routes fills and settles exchange-to-exchange via USDC on Solana.

SoccerSportsFIFA World Cup2026 FIFA World Cup

World Cup: Spain Stage of Elimination

Opens Jun 5, 2026Resolves Jul 19, 2026

Total volume

$2.0M

24h volume

$7K

Liquidity

$3.3M

Open interest

$55K

Resolves

Jul 19, 2026

Comments

7d volume

$51K

30d volume

$105K

1yr volume

$109K

Competitive

99.3%

Odds history

#OutcomeChance

Will Spain win the World Cup?▲ 40.0% 1w▲ 43.5% 1m

1.0% spread

58%

Will Spain finish in some other position in the World Cup?

100.0% spread

50%

Will Spain be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?▼ 0.5% 1d▲ 24.0% 1w▲ 29.0% 1m

1.0% spread

42%

Will Spain be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 3.6% 1w

0.1% spread

Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?▼ 14.0% 1d▼ 17.4% 1w

0.1% spread

Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?▼ 34.0% 1d▼ 27.0% 1w▼ 20.9% 1m

0.1% spread

Will Spain be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?▼ 25.4% 1d▼ 17.4% 1w▼ 13.5% 1m

0.1% spread

Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?▼ 59.5% 1d▼ 41.4% 1w▼ 16.0% 1m

0.1% spread

Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.01Maker rewards ≥ 50 USDCMax spread: 4.5%

Order BookOther

Mid 50.0¢

PriceContractsTotal

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Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com/en/

📊 Market context

**Spain opened their 2026 FIFA World Cup campaign in Group H with a surprising 0-0 draw against debutants Cape Verde on June 15, failing to score despite heavy possession and creating the tournament’s most notable early shock.** This result, combined with standout poor individual displays and Spain’s first winless streak in four World Cup matches, has introduced fresh uncertainty into elimination-…

Rules summary

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Spain is eliminated. If Spain wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Spain is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Spain based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution so…