World Cup: Golden Boot Winner. Current implied probability: 63% yes. Total volume: $64.0M. Resolves July 20, 2026. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
⭐ FeaturedFIFA World Cup2026 FIFA World CupSoccerSports
World Cup: Golden Boot Winner
Opens Resolves
Total volume
$64.0M
24h volume
$4.7M
Liquidity
$6.9M
Open interest
$3.7M
Resolves
Jul 20, 2026
Comments
272
7d volume
$12.0M
30d volume
$32.5M
1yr volume
$36.3M
Competitive
98.2%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1
63%
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▲ 12.8% 1d▲ 24.0% 1w▲ 57.6% 1m
0.1% spread
236%
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 1.0% 1d▼ 5.0% 1w▲ 20.0% 1m
1.0% spread
31%
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 7.8% 1d▼ 7.4% 1w▼ 11.9% 1m
0.1% spread
40%
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 5.0% 1d▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
50%
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.3% 1d▼ 0.3% 1w▼ 3.6% 1m
0.1% spread
60%
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.2% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 3.5% 1m
0.1% spread
70%
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 2.0% 1m
0.1% spread
80%
Will Marcus Thuram be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
90%
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.7% 1w▼ 4.2% 1m
0.1% spread
100%
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 4.5% 1m
0.1% spread
110%
Will Dani Olmo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.4% 1m
0.1% spread
120%
Will Desire Doue be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.3% 1m
0.1% spread
130%
Will Bradley Barcola be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0.1% spread
140%
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 3.6% 1m
0.1% spread
150%
Will Bukayo Saka be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.5% 1m
0.1% spread
160%
Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 1.8% 1m
0.1% spread
170%
Will Pedri be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.4% 1m
0.1% spread
180%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.4% 1d▼ 1.2% 1w▼ 4.0% 1m
0.1% spread
190%
Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 3.0% 1m
0.1% spread
200%
Will Noah Okafor be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
210%
Will Scott McTominay be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.7% 1m
0.1% spread
220%
Will Rodrygo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
230%
Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.5% 1d▼ 1.1% 1w▼ 1.2% 1m
0.1% spread
240%
Will Amad Diallo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
250%
Will Depay Memphis be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 1.8% 1m
0.1% spread
260%
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 11.3% 1d▼ 2.4% 1w▼ 8.5% 1m
0.1% spread
270%
Will Heung-Min Son be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.5% 1m
0.1% spread
280%
Will Edin Džeko be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.7% 1m
0.1% spread
290%
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.8% 1d▼ 6.0% 1w▼ 3.1% 1m
0.1% spread
300%
Will Igor Thiago be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 1.3% 1m
0.1% spread
310%
Will Serge Gnabry be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
320%
Will Viktor Gyökeres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 1.2% 1m
0.1% spread
330%
Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.4% 1d▼ 0.8% 1w▼ 1.9% 1m
0.1% spread
340%
Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 1.4% 1m
0.1% spread
350%
Will Ivan Perišić be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
360%
Will Andrej Kramarić be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
370%
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.7% 1m
0.1% spread
380%
Will Sadio Mane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.4% 1m
0.1% spread
390%
Will Rafael Leao be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.4% 1m
0.1% spread
400%
Will Player Q be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100.0% spread
410%
Will Player W be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100.0% spread
420%
Will Player Y be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100.0% spread
430%
Will Bruno Fernandes be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.8% 1m
0.1% spread
440%
Will Luis Javier Suárez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.7% 1m
0.1% spread
450%
Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.2% 1d▼ 0.9% 1w
0.1% spread
460%
Will Romelu Lukaku be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0.1% spread
470%
Will Tim Payne be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0.1% spread
480%
Will Donyell Malen be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.2% 1w
0.1% spread
490%
Will Player J be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100.0% spread
500%
Will Player L be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100.0% spread
510%
Will Player N be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100.0% spread
520%
Will Player P be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100.0% spread
530%
Will Player R be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100.0% spread
540%
Will Player T be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100.0% spread
550%
Will Player X be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100.0% spread
560%
Will Player Z be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100.0% spread
570%
Will Player AD be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100.0% spread
580%
Will Player AF be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100.0% spread
590%
Will Player AH be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100.0% spread
600%
Will someone else be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100.0% spread
610%
Will Antoine Semenyo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.4% 1m
0.1% spread
620%
Will Federico Valverde be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.9% 1m
0.1% spread
630%
Will Dion Beljo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
640%
Will Endrick Felipe Moreira de Sousa Pessoa be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0.1% spread
650%
Will Folarin Balogun be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w
0.1% spread
660%
Will Florian Wirtz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.1% 1w
0.1% spread
670%
Will Memphis Depay be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
0.1% spread
680%
Will Player I be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100.0% spread
690%
Will Player K be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100.0% spread
700%
Will Player M be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100.0% spread
710%
Will Player O be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100.0% spread
720%
Will Player S be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100.0% spread
730%
Will Player U be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100.0% spread
740%
Will Player V be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100.0% spread
750%
Will Player AB be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100.0% spread
760%
Will Player AG be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100.0% spread
770%
Will Player AI be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100.0% spread
780%
Will Player AA be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100.0% spread
790%
Will Player AC be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100.0% spread
800%
Will Player AE be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100.0% spread
Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.001Maker rewards ≥ 200 USDCMax spread: 4.5%
Order BookLionel Messi
Mid 63.4¢
PriceContractsTotal
Loading…
Price change▼ 0.2% 1h▲ 12.8% 1d▲ 24.0% 1w▲ 57.6% 1m
📊 Market context
Kylian Mbappé leads the Golden Boot market at 25.5% implied probability after opening his 2026 account with goals for France in the group stage, building on his 2022 triumph and strong club output at Real Madrid. Lionel Messi sits close behind at 21.1% on the strength of Argentina’s attacking depth and his prior tournament pedigree, while Harry Kane holds 19.5% following a record 61-goal club seas…
Rules summary
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader decl…