geenland derivDenmarkForeign PolicyGreenlandPolitics

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Opens Resolves
Total volume
$34.9M
24h volume
$21K
Liquidity
$220K
Open interest
$3.0M
Resolves
Dec 31, 2026
Comments
7d volume
$297K
30d volume
$1.0M
1yr volume
$34.9M
Competitive
82.8%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? 0.1% 1d 0.1% 1w 1.6% 1m
0.1% spread
4%
Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.001
Order BookYes
Mid 4.3¢
PriceContractsTotal
Loading…
Price change 0.1% 1d 0.1% 1w 1.6% 1m
📊 Market context

**Trump's renewed push for U.S. control of Greenland, an autonomous Danish territory, has generated intense diplomatic friction but little concrete progress toward full acquisition.** Since early 2025, the administration has cited Arctic security concerns involving Russia and China, explored purchase options or a Compact of Free Association, and floated tariffs or other leverage. These efforts pea…

Rules summary

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland wi…

Buy Yes · Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
You're paying
$USDC
Implied chance4%
Shares0
To win
Bid 4.3¢Ask 4.4¢Spread 0.1¢