Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Trump's renewed push for U.S. control of Greenland has produced diplomatic talks on expanded military access and investment screening but no transfer of sovereignty. Greenland’s government and Denmark have repeatedly declared the territory is not for sale, with local leaders rejecting any purchase, annexation, or compact that would alter its status. Negotiations since early 2026 have focused on up…

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States acquires control of any land territory that is part of Greenland by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only the transfer of sovereignty, or the acquisition of primary or exclusive jurisdiction or control qualifies. 1. Transfer of Sovereignty: This will qualify if a binding agreement or legal instrument results in a defined area of Greenland coming under the formal sovereignty of the U.S. (e.g., incorporated as a U.S. state, territory, possession, or other U.S. political classification), even if t…