IsraelWorldIranMiddle East

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Opens Resolves
Total volume
$21.6M
24h volume
$502
Liquidity
$94K
Open interest
$444K
Resolves
Jun 30, 2026
Comments
417
7d volume
$298K
30d volume
$1.1M
1yr volume
$3.0M
Competitive
84.1%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? 1.0% 1w 2.0% 1m
1.0% spread
6%
2Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28? 0.5% 1w 6.5% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
3Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? 2.2% 1w 5.0% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
4Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31? 0.1% 1d 0.4% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
5Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? 0.2% 1w 1.6% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
6Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30? 0.4% 1w 2.2% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
7Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? 0.2% 1w 1.8% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.001Maker rewards ≥ 20 USDCMax spread: 3.5%
Order BookFebruary 28
Mid 0.1¢
PriceContractsTotal
Loading…
Price change 0.5% 1w 6.5% 1m
📊 Market context

Reza Pahlavi has publicly stated his intent to return to Iran as soon as conditions permit, even before full regime change, potentially entering a "liberated area" to encourage defections from security forces. This followed 2026 protests triggered by economic grievances and U.S.-Israeli strikes in late February that targeted Iranian infrastructure amid calls for transition. Pahlavi has remained ou…

Rules summary

If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Buy Yes · Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?
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