What are the current odds for: Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

According to OpenFlow's prediction market aggregator, the current implied probability is 0% as of 2026-08-31. Total volume on this market is $21.8M. This market resolves on January 1, 2027.

How does OpenFlow aggregate prediction market odds?

OpenFlow aggregates live order books across on-chain prediction market venues, applies cross-venue price improvement, and displays unified Yes/No implied probabilities. Users trade on their own exchange — OpenFlow routes fills and settles exchange-to-exchange via USDC on Solana.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?. Current implied probability: 0% yes. Total volume: $21.8M. Resolves January 1, 2027. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.

IsraelWorldIranMiddle East

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Opens Jan 3, 2026Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Total volume

$21.8M

24h volume

$199

Liquidity

$117K

Open interest

$510K

Resolves

Jan 1, 2027

Comments

423

7d volume

$245K

30d volume

$984K

1yr volume

$2.0M

Competitive

82.8%

Odds history

#OutcomeChance

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?▼ 1.0% 1m

1.0% spread

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?▼ 0.5% 1w▼ 6.5% 1m

0.1% spread

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?▼ 2.2% 1w▼ 5.0% 1m

0.1% spread

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.4% 1w

0.1% spread

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?▼ 0.2% 1w▼ 1.6% 1m

0.1% spread

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?▼ 0.4% 1w▼ 2.2% 1m

0.1% spread

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?▼ 0.2% 1w▼ 1.8% 1m

0.1% spread

Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.001Maker rewards ≥ 20 USDCMax spread: 3.5%

Order BookFebruary 28

Mid 0.1¢

PriceContractsTotal

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Price change▼ 0.5% 1w▼ 6.5% 1m

📊 Market context

Reza Pahlavi, the exiled son of Iran's last shah, has positioned himself as a potential transitional figure amid the Islamic Republic's reported weakening following U.S. and Israeli military operations earlier in 2026 that targeted leadership, missile arsenals, and nuclear sites. These strikes, including operations referred to as Midnight Hammer and Epic Fury, coincided with the death of Supreme L…

Rules summary

If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.