María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?. Current implied probability: 0% yes. Total volume: $6.3M. Resolves January 31, 2026. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
Trump-MachadoPoliticsTrumpVenezuela
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
Opens Resolves
Total volume
$6.3M
24h volume
$6K
Liquidity
$9K
Open interest
$89K
Resolves
Jan 31, 2026
Comments
417
7d volume
$494K
30d volume
$3.1M
1yr volume
$3.1M
Competitive
86.8%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?▼ 6.0% 1d▼ 18.0% 1w
2.0% spread
11%
2
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?▼ 1.0% 1d▼ 3.3% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
3
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?▼ 0.5% 1d▼ 3.5% 1w▼ 18.5% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
4
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 9?▼ 0.1% 1d
0.1% spread
0%
5
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 24?
100.0% spread
0%
6
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 8?
0.1% spread
0%
7
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?▼ 0.7% 1d▼ 3.6% 1w▼ 40.5% 1m
0.1% spread
1%
8
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?▼ 0.2% 1d▼ 4.5% 1w▼ 6.5% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
9
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?▼ 2.5% 1d▼ 1.0% 1w▼ 16.0% 1m
1.0% spread
0%
10
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31?
**María Corina Machado remains outside Venezuela as of mid-June 2026, coordinating with U.S. officials on security arrangements during the post-Maduro transition under interim President Delcy Rodríguez.** U.S. forces captured Nicolás Maduro earlier in the year, after which Machado—who received the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize—left the country in December 2025 and has since operated from Washington and o…
Rules summary
If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and Janaury 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
