What are the current odds for: María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

According to OpenFlow's prediction market aggregator, the current implied probability is 0% as of 2026-08-31. Total volume on this market is $6.4M. This market resolves on January 1, 2027.

How does OpenFlow aggregate prediction market odds?

OpenFlow aggregates live order books across on-chain prediction market venues, applies cross-venue price improvement, and displays unified Yes/No implied probabilities. Users trade on their own exchange — OpenFlow routes fills and settles exchange-to-exchange via USDC on Solana.

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?. Current implied probability: 0% yes. Total volume: $6.4M. Resolves January 1, 2027. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.

Trump-MachadoPoliticsTrumpVenezuela

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

Opens Jan 3, 2026Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Total volume

$6.4M

24h volume

$1K

Liquidity

$29K

Open interest

$16K

Resolves

Jan 1, 2027

Comments

428

7d volume

$460K

30d volume

$2.9M

1yr volume

$2.9M

Competitive

94.8%

Odds history

#OutcomeChance

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?▲ 0.5% 1d▼ 4.0% 1w▼ 21.5% 1m

3.0% spread

25%

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?▲ 2.0% 1d▲ 4.5% 1w▼ 12.0% 1m

4.0% spread

11%

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31?▼ 0.5% 1d▼ 2.5% 1w▼ 11.7% 1m

0.6% spread

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?▼ 1.0% 1d▼ 3.3% 1w

0.1% spread

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?▼ 0.5% 1d▼ 3.5% 1w▼ 18.5% 1m

0.1% spread

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 9?▼ 0.1% 1d

0.1% spread

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 24?

100.0% spread

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 8?

0.1% spread

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?▼ 0.7% 1d▼ 3.6% 1w▼ 40.5% 1m

0.1% spread

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by May 31?▼ 0.2% 1d▼ 4.5% 1w▼ 6.5% 1m

0.1% spread

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?▼ 2.5% 1d▼ 1.0% 1w▼ 16.0% 1m

1.0% spread

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?▼ 0.6% 1d▼ 7.4% 1w▼ 30.4% 1m

0.1% spread

ARCH Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by August 31?

100.0% spread

Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.001Maker rewards ≥ 200 USDCMax spread: 3.5%

Order BookJanuary 31

Mid 0.2¢

PriceContractsTotal

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Price change▼ 0.2% 1h▼ 1.0% 1d▼ 3.3% 1w

📊 Market context

Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado, currently abroad since late 2025, has repeatedly stated her intent to return before year-end, with efforts intensifying after June 2026 earthquakes that killed over 1,400 people and strained the acting Rodríguez government. Multiple attempts via Curaçao and Panama were blocked by airspace restrictions, airline refusals citing government pressure, …

Rules summary

If María Corina Machado visits Venezuela between market creation and Janaury 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.