OpenFlowWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?. Current implied probability: 25% yes. Total volume: $305,820. Resolves January 1, 2027. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Apple’s fall 2026 roadmap centers on iterative refreshes across existing categories—iPhone 18 Pro models, updated Apple Watches, AirPods variants, and M-series Mac and iPad tweaks—while the long-rumored first foldable iPhone (often called iPhone Ultra) remains the sole candidate for a meaningfully new form factor. Credible reporting places truly novel categories, such as camera-equipped AirPods, a…
Rules summary
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of an existing product. Examples of a new product line would include an Apple-branded home robot or gaming console, while a new iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch, or AirPods models would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Apple.