What are the current odds for: Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

According to OpenFlow's prediction market aggregator, the current implied probability is 29% as of 2026-08-31. Total volume on this market is $34.2M. This market resolves on December 31, 2026.

How does OpenFlow aggregate prediction market odds?

OpenFlow aggregates live order books across on-chain prediction market venues, applies cross-venue price improvement, and displays unified Yes/No implied probabilities. Users trade on their own exchange — OpenFlow routes fills and settles exchange-to-exchange via USDC on Solana.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?. Current implied probability: 29% yes. Total volume: $34.2M. Resolves December 31, 2026. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.

⭐ FeaturedPoliticsMiddle EastIsraelGeopolitics

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Opens Nov 15, 2025Resolves Dec 31, 2026

Total volume

$34.2M

24h volume

$55K

Liquidity

$2.5M

Open interest

$1.3M

Resolves

Dec 31, 2026

Comments

652

7d volume

$1.2M

30d volume

$3.6M

1yr volume

$33.6M

Competitive

100.0%

Odds history

#OutcomeChance

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?▲ 0.3% 1d▼ 8.6% 1w▼ 1.4% 1m

1.4% spread

49%

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?▼ 2.5% 1d▲ 3.0% 1w▼ 5.0% 1m

1.0% spread

29%

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?▲ 2.0% 1w▲ 1.0% 1m

1.0% spread

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?▲ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w

0.1% spread

Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?▲ 1.2% 1d

2.2% spread

Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?▼ 0.7% 1w▼ 0.3% 1m

0.1% spread

Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?▲ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.3% 1w▲ 0.3% 1m

0.3% spread

Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w▲ 0.3% 1m

0.2% spread

Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?▲ 0.1% 1w▲ 0.1% 1m

0.1% spread

Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

0.1% spread

Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

0.1% spread

Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?▲ 0.1% 1w

0.1% spread

Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

0.1% spread

Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?▼ 0.1% 1d

0.1% spread

Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

0.1% spread

Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

0.1% spread

Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?▼ 0.1% 1m

0.1% spread

Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

0.1% spread

Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?▼ 0.1% 1m

0.1% spread

Will another person be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

100.0% spread

Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.01Maker rewards ≥ 20 USDCMax spread: 7.5%

Order BookBenjamin Netanyahu

Mid 29.0¢

PriceContractsTotal

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Price change▼ 2.5% 1d▲ 3.0% 1w▼ 5.0% 1m

📊 Market context

**Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party leads recent Israeli polls ahead of the October 27, 2026 Knesset election, positioning him as the frontrunner for prime minister.** His party is projected to win the most seats (around 24), ahead of Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud (around 21), with Eisenkot consistently topping head-to-head suitability surveys at roughly 40% versus Netanyahu’s 37%. Eisenkot’s rise stems…

Rules summary

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December …