Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?. Current implied probability: 3% yes. Total volume: $15.4M. Resolves September 20, 2026. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
World ElectionsElectionsGlobal Electionsputin
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
Opens Resolves
Total volume
$15.4M
24h volume
$92K
Liquidity
$1.8M
Open interest
$1.8M
Resolves
Sep 20, 2026
Comments
299
7d volume
$551K
30d volume
$3.8M
1yr volume
$15.4M
Competitive
99.7%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?▲ 1.0% 1d▼ 4.0% 1m
1.0% spread
56%
2
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?▼ 1.6% 1d▼ 2.6% 1w▲ 6.0% 1m
0.1% spread
37%
3
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?▼ 0.1% 1d▲ 0.5% 1w▼ 1.1% 1m
0.5% spread
5%
4
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?▲ 0.8% 1d▲ 1.3% 1w
0.1% spread
3%
5
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
6
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?▼ 0.1% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
7
Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
0.1% spread
0%
8
Will Party A gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100.0% spread
0%
9
Will Party J gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100.0% spread
0%
10
Will Party L gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100.0% spread
0%
11
Will Party Q gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100.0% spread
0%
12
Will Party S gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100.0% spread
0%
13
Will Party T gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100.0% spread
0%
14
Will Party B gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100.0% spread
0%
15
Will Party D gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100.0% spread
0%
16
Will Party E gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100.0% spread
0%
17
Will Party G gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100.0% spread
0%
18
Will Party O gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100.0% spread
0%
19
Will Party U gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100.0% spread
0%
20
Will Party X gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100.0% spread
0%
21
Will Party Z gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100.0% spread
0%
22
Will Party C gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100.0% spread
0%
23
Will Party F gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100.0% spread
0%
24
Will Party I gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100.0% spread
0%
25
Will Party W gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100.0% spread
0%
26
Will Party Y gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100.0% spread
0%
27
Will Other gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100.0% spread
0%
28
Will Party H gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100.0% spread
0%
29
Will Party K gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100.0% spread
0%
30
Will Party M gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100.0% spread
0%
31
Will Party N gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100.0% spread
0%
32
Will Party P gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100.0% spread
0%
33
Will Party R gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100.0% spread
0%
34
Will Party V gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100.0% spread
0%
Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.001
Order BookCommunist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
Mid 3.0¢
PriceContractsTotal
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Price change▲ 0.4% 1h▲ 0.8% 1d▲ 1.3% 1w
📊 Market context
United Russia maintains a commanding position in trader assessments for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its entrenched administrative resources, control of state media, and consistent polling leads around 50 percent or higher in state-aligned surveys. Preparations including party primaries, leadership restructuring, and three-day voting across 450 seats reinforce expectations of anot…
Rules summary
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resol…
