What are the current odds for: Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

According to OpenFlow's prediction market aggregator, the current implied probability is 1% as of 2026-08-30. Total volume on this market is $23.4M. This market resolves on September 20, 2026.

How does OpenFlow aggregate prediction market odds?

OpenFlow aggregates live order books across on-chain prediction market venues, applies cross-venue price improvement, and displays unified Yes/No implied probabilities. Users trade on their own exchange — OpenFlow routes fills and settles exchange-to-exchange via USDC on Solana.

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?. Current implied probability: 1% yes. Total volume: $23.4M. Resolves September 20, 2026. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.

World ElectionsElectionsGlobal Electionsputin

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Opens Jan 7, 2026Resolves Sep 20, 2026

Total volume

$23.4M

24h volume

$268K

Liquidity

$2.2M

Open interest

$2.8M

Resolves

Sep 20, 2026

Comments

438

7d volume

$1.7M

30d volume

$6.9M

1yr volume

$23.4M

Competitive

95.6%

Odds history

#OutcomeChance

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?▼ 2.5% 1d▲ 1.0% 1w▲ 10.0% 1m

1.0% spread

72%

Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?▲ 2.6% 1d▼ 1.3% 1w▼ 10.2% 1m

0.3% spread

22%

Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?▼ 0.4% 1d▼ 0.9% 1w▲ 0.4% 1m

0.2% spread

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 1.5% 1m

0.1% spread

Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?▼ 0.1% 1d

0.1% spread

Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

0.1% spread

Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.2% 1m

0.1% spread

Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

0.1% spread

Will Party J gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

100.0% spread

Will Party L gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

100.0% spread

Will Party Q gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

100.0% spread

Will Party S gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

100.0% spread

Will Party T gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

100.0% spread

Will Party B gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

100.0% spread

Will Party D gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

100.0% spread

Will Party E gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

100.0% spread

Will Party G gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

100.0% spread

Will Party O gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

100.0% spread

Will Party U gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

100.0% spread

Will Party X gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

100.0% spread

Will Party Z gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

100.0% spread

Will Party C gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

100.0% spread

Will Party F gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

100.0% spread

Will Party I gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

100.0% spread

Will Party W gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

100.0% spread

Will Party Y gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

100.0% spread

Will Other gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

100.0% spread

Will Party H gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

100.0% spread

Will Party K gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

100.0% spread

Will Party M gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

100.0% spread

Will Party N gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

100.0% spread

Will Party P gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

100.0% spread

Will Party R gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

100.0% spread

Will Party V gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

100.0% spread

Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.001

Order BookCommunist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

Mid 1.3¢

PriceContractsTotal

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Price change▼ 0.1% 1h▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 1.5% 1m

📊 Market context

United Russia maintains a commanding position in trader consensus for securing the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections due to its structural advantages under Russia's mixed electoral system, strong state-aligned polling leads, and extensive candidate recruitment including military veterans. Recent VCIOM and FOM surveys show the party at 32–39% support in August, widening its marg…

Rules summary

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resol…