Which continent will win the World Cup?. Current implied probability: 0% yes. Total volume: $10.6M. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
SportsWorldworld cupSoccer
Which continent will win the World Cup?
Opens
Total volume
$10.6M
24h volume
$264K
Liquidity
$3.7M
Open interest
$627K
Resolves
Invalid Date
Comments
60
7d volume
$807K
30d volume
$1.9M
1yr volume
$2.8M
Competitive
99.3%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 21.0% 1d▼ 19.0% 1w▼ 12.0% 1m
1.0% spread
58%
2
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▲ 22.0% 1d▲ 22.0% 1w▲ 22.0% 1m
1.0% spread
41%
3
Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 3.4% 1d▼ 3.4% 1w▼ 2.2% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
4
Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.9% 1d▼ 2.5% 1w▼ 2.7% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
5
Will Oceania (OCF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.2% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
6
Will another continent win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100.0% spread
0%
7
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?▼ 2.8% 1d▼ 2.6% 1w▼ 2.9% 1m
Europe's deep pool of elite national teams, including current favorites France, Spain, England, and Portugal, underpins the 71.5% implied probability, reflecting their consistent recent form, squad depth, and historical dominance in major tournaments. Spain's Euro 2024 title and France's strong group-stage start with Kylian Mbappé in top scoring position have reinforced trader consensus, while Arg…
Rules summary
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sourc…
