What are the current odds for: Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

According to OpenFlow's prediction market aggregator, the current implied probability is 7% as of 2026-08-30. Total volume on this market is $711,640. This market resolves on January 1, 2027.

How does OpenFlow aggregate prediction market odds?

OpenFlow aggregates live order books across on-chain prediction market venues, applies cross-venue price improvement, and displays unified Yes/No implied probabilities. Users trade on their own exchange — OpenFlow routes fills and settles exchange-to-exchange via USDC on Solana.

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?. Current implied probability: 7% yes. Total volume: $711,640. Resolves January 1, 2027. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.

Big TechBusinessAIEconomy

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Opens Nov 18, 2025Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Total volume

$712K

24h volume

$12

Liquidity

$5K

Open interest

$35K

Resolves

Jan 1, 2027

Comments

7d volume

$737

30d volume

$1K

1yr volume

$103K

Competitive

85.3%

Odds history

#OutcomeChance

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?▲ 74.5% 1d▲ 75.4% 1w▲ 68.0% 1m

0.1% spread

100%

Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?▲ 0.5% 1d▲ 0.5% 1w▼ 1.0% 1m

1.0% spread

Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 1.1% 1w▼ 2.5% 1m

3.6% spread

Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?▼ 1.7% 1w▲ 1.1% 1m

2.2% spread

Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?▼ 0.4% 1d▼ 0.4% 1w▼ 1.8% 1m

3.7% spread

Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027?▼ 3.6% 1m

1.8% spread

Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.001Maker rewards ≥ 20 USDCMax spread: 3.5%

Order BookSundar Pichai - Google

Mid 7.2¢

PriceContractsTotal

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Price change▼ 1.7% 1w▲ 1.1% 1m

📊 Market context

Recent executive departures at OpenAI, including multiple C-suite roles amid reorganization and IPO preparations, highlight instability driven by competitive pressure from Anthropic and Google DeepMind plus internal restructuring around large language model development. Apple's transition from Tim Cook to John Ternus as CEO effective September 2026 reflects long-planned succession amid hardware an…

Rules summary

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.