Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?. Current implied probability: 1% yes. Total volume: $2.8M. Resolves September 30, 2026. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
where US-Iran meetingPeace DealIranTrumpNuclear
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
Opens Resolves
Total volume
$2.8M
24h volume
$38K
Liquidity
$696K
Open interest
$126K
Resolves
Sep 30, 2026
Comments
—
7d volume
$296K
30d volume
$2.8M
1yr volume
$2.8M
Competitive
97.5%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?▲ 10.5% 1d▲ 6.0% 1w
2.0% spread
34%
2
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?▲ 4.5% 1d▲ 8.0% 1w
2.0% spread
23%
3
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?▼ 8.9% 1d▲ 10.2% 1w
0.8% spread
23%
4
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?▼ 2.9% 1d▼ 6.6% 1w
0.9% spread
11%
5
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?▲ 0.6% 1d▲ 4.2% 1w
1.2% spread
6%
6
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?▼ 0.4% 1d▼ 0.7% 1w
0.4% spread
2%
7
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w
0.4% spread
1%
8
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026?▼ 0.5% 1d▲ 0.3% 1w
0.8% spread
1%
9
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 2.5% 1w
0.2% spread
1%
10
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?▼ 0.3% 1w
0.8% spread
0%
11
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?▼ 0.5% 1d▲ 0.1% 1w
0.5% spread
1%
12
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?▼ 0.2% 1d▼ 0.5% 1w
0.3% spread
1%
13
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?▼ 0.3% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w
0.2% spread
1%
14
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country by September 30, 2026?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w
0.2% spread
0%
15
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?▲ 0.1% 1d
0.3% spread
0%
16
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
17
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran by September 30, 2026?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 1.1% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
18
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan by September 30, 2026?▼ 0.1% 1d
0.1% spread
0%
19
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026?▼ 0.3% 1w
Recent US-Iran talks under the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum concluded their first round in Switzerland with mediators Qatar and Pakistan reporting encouraging progress on a 60-day roadmap, including technical sessions at Buergenstock and mechanisms for de-confliction in Lebanon and Strait of Hormuz communications. Prior rounds occurred in Oman, Geneva, Islamabad, and Rome, while sanctions relief…
Rules summary
On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks).
This market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or neg…
