What are the current odds for: Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

According to OpenFlow's prediction market aggregator, the current implied probability is 0% as of 2026-08-30. Total volume on this market is $5.4M. This market resolves on October 1, 2026.

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Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?. Current implied probability: 0% yes. Total volume: $5.4M. Resolves October 1, 2026. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.

where US-Iran meetingPeace DealIranTrumpNuclear

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

Opens Jun 23, 2026Resolves Oct 1, 2026

Total volume

$5.4M

24h volume

$27K

Liquidity

$910K

Open interest

$247K

Resolves

Oct 1, 2026

Comments

—

7d volume

$279K

30d volume

$1.4M

1yr volume

$3.8M

Competitive

88.2%

Odds history

#OutcomeChance

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?▲ 2.3% 1d▲ 12.0% 1w▲ 45.1% 1m

0.2% spread

87%

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?▼ 1.5% 1d▼ 3.5% 1w▼ 18.5% 1m

2.0% spread

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?▲ 0.3% 1d▼ 1.0% 1w▼ 11.8% 1m

1.1% spread

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?▼ 0.1% 1d▲ 0.3% 1w▼ 6.2% 1m

0.4% spread

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?▼ 0.2% 1d▼ 0.7% 1w▼ 4.0% 1m

0.3% spread

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?▼ 1.8% 1w▼ 0.7% 1m

0.3% spread

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.8% 1m

0.2% spread

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.6% 1w▼ 0.6% 1m

0.1% spread

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?▼ 0.2% 1w

0.1% spread

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026?▼ 0.4% 1m

0.1% spread

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026?▼ 0.1% 1w▼ 0.5% 1m

0.1% spread

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.9% 1w▼ 0.4% 1m

0.1% spread

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran by September 30, 2026?

0.1% spread

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?▼ 1.1% 1w▼ 0.5% 1m

0.1% spread

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026?▼ 0.1% 1d▼ 0.3% 1w▼ 0.9% 1m

0.1% spread

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan by September 30, 2026?

0.1% spread

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?▼ 0.2% 1w▼ 0.4% 1m

0.1% spread

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026?

0.1% spread

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country by September 30, 2026?▼ 0.3% 1w▼ 0.1% 1m

0.1% spread

Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.001Maker rewards ≥ 20 USDCMax spread: 4.5%

Order BookUAE

Mid 0.1¢

PriceContractsTotal

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Price change▼ 0.4% 1m

📊 Market context

Recent US statements confirm no active diplomatic channel with Iran as of late August 2026, with Washington instead pursuing economic pressure while insisting on meaningful concessions before resuming talks on the June MOU covering the Strait of Hormuz, nuclear issues, and sanctions. The 60-day negotiation window from that accord has closed without a final deal, and mediators including Qatar, Paki…

Rules summary

On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks). This market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or neg…