US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
US and Iranian officials signed a memorandum of understanding in mid-June 2026 that extended a ceasefire, reopened the Strait of Hormuz to commercial traffic, and outlined limited sanctions relief while deferring core nuclear issues. The framework sets a 60-day window ending around mid-August for technical negotiations on uranium enrichment limits, down-blending of existing highly enriched stockpi…
Rules summary
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, including a 60-day extendable period in which both countries committed to negotiate toward a “final deal” regarding Iran’s nuclear program and other topics. This market resolves to “Yes” if a qualifying written diplomatic instrument between the United States and Iran has been mutually signed or adopted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market resolves to “No.” Unless the written instrument is formally adopted without signature as described below, the instrument must be signed by both the …