US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?. Current implied probability: 0% yes. Total volume: $16.0M. Resolves August 31, 2026. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
The ongoing US naval blockade of Iranian ports, reimposed in July 2026 after the collapse of a June memorandum of understanding suspending operations, remains the central driver of trader assessments. CENTCOM continues enforcing restrictions on maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz and Gulf of Oman, with recent actions including missile strikes disabling vessels attempting violations and r…
Rules summary
On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United…