OpenFlowTrump out as President before 2027?. Current implied probability: 6% yes. Total volume: $11.2M. Resolves January 1, 2027. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
Trump out as President before 2027?
Trump's position as the 47th president, inaugurated in January 2025, faces limited near-term removal risk through 2026. Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress make passage of articles of impeachment followed by Senate conviction highly improbable, as shown by the August 2026 House resolution introduced by Rep. Al Green that advanced no further than committee referral. Discussions of th…
Rules summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 …