SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes). Current implied probability: 0% yes. Total volume: $1.9M. Resolves December 31, 2027. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
IPOFinanceElon MuskBig Tech
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
Opens Resolves
Total volume
$1.9M
24h volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Open interest
$281K
Resolves
Dec 31, 2027
Comments
11
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?▲ 29.9% 1d▲ 38.5% 1w▲ 39.0% 1m
0.1% spread
100%
2
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?▼ 7.8% 1d▼ 10.9% 1w▼ 8.6% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
3
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?▼ 1.3% 1w▼ 1.5% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
4
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?▼ 0.4% 1d▼ 1.0% 1w▼ 4.2% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
5
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day?▼ 1.9% 1d▼ 0.9% 1w▼ 1.8% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
6
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.2T and $1.4T at market close on IPO day?▼ 1.3% 1d▼ 1.1% 1w▼ 2.6% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
7
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?▼ 2.4% 1d▼ 4.5% 1w▼ 5.4% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
8
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?▼ 16.4% 1d▼ 17.4% 1w▼ 10.9% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.001
Order Book1.6T–1.8T
Mid 0.1¢
PriceContractsTotal
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Price change▼ 7.8% 1d▼ 10.9% 1w▼ 8.6% 1m
📊 Market context
SpaceX’s June 2026 IPO priced at $135 per share for a roughly $1.77–1.8 trillion valuation and raised a record $75 billion amid heavy institutional oversubscription and retail allocation. Initial trading quickly lifted the stock above that level, with shares reaching the mid-$160s and pushing closing market cap past $2 trillion on the debut day. Traders cite sustained Starlink subscriber growth, S…
Rules summary
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be ba…
