Putin out as President of Russia by...?. Current implied probability: 7% yes. Total volume: $22.2M. Resolves July 1, 2027. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.

Putin out as PresidentputinGeopoliticsUkrainePolitics

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

Opens Resolves
Total volume
$22.2M
24h volume
$192K
Liquidity
$881K
Open interest
$9.2M
Resolves
Jul 1, 2027
Comments
1
7d volume
$689K
30d volume
$3.1M
1yr volume
$21.9M
Competitive
88.8%
Odds history
#OutcomeChance
1Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? 2.0% 1d 1.0% 1w 0.5% 1m
1.0% spread
15%
2Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? 1.0% 1d 1.0% 1w 2.0% 1m
1.0% spread
7%
3Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? 0.1% 1d 0.1% 1w 0.7% 1m
0.1% spread
2%
4Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? 0.3% 1w 1.2% 1m
0.1% spread
0%
5Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?
Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026? 0.2% 1w
0.1% spread
0%
Min order: 5 USDCTick: 0.01Maker rewards ≥ 200 USDCMax spread: 3.5%
Order BookDecember 31, 2026
Mid 7.0¢
PriceContractsTotal
Loading…
Price change 1.0% 1d 1.0% 1w 2.0% 1m 12.0% 1y
📊 Market context

Putin maintains firm control over Russia's political system as of late August 2026, with no verified official announcements, health reports, or elite challenges indicating an imminent departure from the presidency. Ongoing Ukrainian drone strikes on energy infrastructure have created fuel shortages and modest war fatigue, contributing to a slight dip in approval ratings, yet Putin continues public…

Rules summary

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within thi…

Buy Yes · Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
You're paying
$USDC
Implied chance7%
Shares0
To win
Bid 6.0¢Ask 7.0¢Spread 1.0¢
Putin out as President of Russia by...? — Odds & Predictions 2026 | OpenFlow