Presidential Election Winner 2028. Current implied probability: 0% yes. Total volume: $696.0M. Resolves November 7, 2028. Live odds aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi on OpenFlow.
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance leads the 2028 presidential winner market at 25.4% as the sitting vice president and presumptive Republican frontrunner, benefiting from strong early primary polling leads of 35-42% in multiple surveys and his alignment with the incumbent administration's coalition. The Democratic side remains fragmented, with Jon Ossoff, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Gavin Newsom, and Kamala Harris splitting…
Rules summary
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
